Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-17 0.606999 0.673432 0.745286 0.828972 0.923999 1.028822 1.153580
2025-08-24 0.505129 0.597151 0.704467 0.839696 1.006714 1.207737 1.470276
2025-08-31 0.440327 0.542553 0.667832 0.834285 1.052080 1.330768 1.719899
2025-09-07 0.397728 0.506534 0.645303 0.837827 1.102078 1.458115 1.984633
2025-09-14 0.358688 0.469344 0.615186 0.824951 1.124741 1.546910 2.203246
2025-09-21 0.328409 0.440014 0.591417 0.816270 1.149502 1.638008 2.433360
2025-09-28 0.295794 0.404155 0.554729 0.784443 1.135513 1.668193 2.570913
2025-10-05 0.282298 0.393736 0.552559 0.801889 1.195734 1.816066 2.914657
2025-10-12 0.269297 0.382719 0.548166 0.814848 1.249278 1.958043 3.267130
2025-10-19 0.255882 0.369883 0.539720 0.820182 1.290237 2.082714 3.605668
2025-10-26 0.243673 0.357852 0.531340 0.824433 1.329097 2.207095 3.960565
2025-11-02 0.233628 0.348351 0.526006 0.832842 1.375292 2.348742 4.368880
2025-11-09 0.218280 0.329718 0.505122 0.813903 1.372449 2.402396 4.613693
2025-11-16 0.210134 0.322071 0.501519 0.824314 1.423679 2.563972 5.110898
2025-11-23 0.199737 0.310030 0.489685 0.819023 1.444800 2.668898 5.501973
2025-11-30 0.191823 0.301541 0.483147 0.822488 1.482580 2.811143 6.001480
2025-12-07 0.181798 0.288881 0.468572 0.809890 1.487430 2.885385 6.353039
2025-12-14 0.173241 0.278210 0.456740 0.801396 1.499479 2.976037 6.760660
2025-12-21 0.161766 0.261889 0.433940 0.770251 1.462116 2.954049 6.877612
2025-12-28 0.158431 0.259559 0.435998 0.787323 1.527043 3.169095 7.659020
2026-01-04 0.154635 0.256174 0.435880 0.800005 1.583760 3.372539 8.451735
2026-01-11 0.150024 0.251065 0.432229 0.805223 1.624549 3.543353 9.188240
2026-01-18 0.145551 0.245953 0.428240 0.809383 1.663294 3.714186 9.962714